| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24,200 or above | 98% | 22¢ | 100¢ | — | $342 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 65% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $270 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 96% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $266 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 94% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $218 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 7% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $13 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 59¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 0% | 80¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 20¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 0% | 22¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 93¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 88¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 69¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 49¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 79¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 1¢ | 95¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at exactly 4:00 PM EDT on March 11, 2026; it matters because that snapshot reflects market consensus about technology- and growth-oriented equities at the close of that trading day.
The Nasdaq-100 is a market-cap weighted index dominated by large technology and growth companies, and its level reflects company earnings, interest-rate expectations, and risk sentiment. Markets in early 2026 will be reacting to the cumulative effects of central bank policy expectations, major corporate earnings cycles, and any geopolitical or macro shocks that occur between now and March 11.
Prediction market odds aggregate traders' beliefs about which discrete price-range outcome will hold at the measurement time; they update continuously as participants trade and new information arrives. Use them as a real-time gauge of market expectations, not as guaranteed forecasts.
The outcome is based on the official index level at 4:00:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 11, 2026 as recorded by the market feed designated by the market creator; consult the market's rules or description for the precise data feed used.
The market is split into 60 mutually exclusive outcome buckets that together span the relevant price range for the index at the measurement time; exact bucket boundaries and labels are listed on the market page and determine which outcome pays out if the observed index level falls within that interval.
No — the measurement is fixed at the regular-market close timestamp (4:00 PM EDT); after-hours or pre-market trades occur outside that timestamp and will not change the recorded 4pm value, though they can influence subsequent sessions.
Corporate actions that alter constituent share counts or index methodology are handled by the index provider and reflected in the official index calculation; such actions can change the index level or its interpretation, and the market rules should state how those events are treated for the outcome.
Key drivers include large institutional block trades, portfolio rebalancing by passive funds tracking the Nasdaq-100, directional flows in Nasdaq-100 futures and options (including gamma squeezes), and concentrated moves in the biggest index constituents around earnings or news events.