| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25,000 or above | 25% | 25¢ | 58¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| 25,100 or above | 80% | 1¢ | 80¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| 24,900 or above | 99% | 2¢ | 100¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| 24,800 or above | 99% | 30¢ | 100¢ | — | $10 | Trade → |
| 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 59¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,600 or above | 0% | 87¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,800 or above | 0% | 87¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,700 or above | 0% | 30¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 or above | 0% | 87¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 29¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 60¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,400 or above | 0% | 21¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,900 or above | 0% | 87¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 or above | 0% | 30¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,200 or above | 0% | 72¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 70¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,100 or above | 0% | 72¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 30¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 60¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,400 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,300 or above | 0% | 21¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,700 or above | 0% | 87¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,600 or above | 0% | 30¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,100 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,200 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,700 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,700 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,300 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,800 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,300 or above | 0% | 85¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,600 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,900 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,100 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,200 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,400 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,600 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,800 or above | 0% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,700 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,900 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,100 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,300 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index level will be at 4:00 p.m. EDT on March 10, 2026; it matters because that timestamp captures the official U.S. equity market close and is used by traders and funds as a daily reference point.
The Nasdaq-100 is a tech- and growth-heavy index whose intraday moves reflect macro data, interest-rate expectations, large-cap earnings, and sector rotation. This specific market currently lists 60 discrete outcomes and shows modest early liquidity (total volume traded: $1,038), so price discovery can change as new information arrives in the days and hours before the close.
Prediction market odds express the crowd’s aggregated view of which outcome is likely to match the official Nasdaq-100 closing level at 4:00 p.m. EDT on March 10, 2026; consult the market page for live odds, and remember they update as participants trade and new information emerges.
The market will resolve to the value specified by the contract’s resolution rules—typically the official Nasdaq-100 index level at the 4:00:00 p.m. EDT close as published by the index administrator or consolidated tape. Check this event’s rules or the platform’s resolution source for the definitive settlement procedure.
No; settlement is tied to the index value at the specified 4:00 p.m. EDT timestamp. News released after that timestamp can affect subsequent trading days but does not change the value used to resolve this event.
Trading on the platform will follow the market’s posted open and close times (see the market page for any platform-specific cutoff). The outcome itself is determined by the index level at 4:00 p.m. EDT on March 10, 2026, and payout/settlement follows the platform’s normal processing schedule after resolution.
No; the price referenced is the official regular-session close at 4:00 p.m. EDT. Pre-market and after-hours trades occur outside the regular session and are not used for that official close level.
Yes. Options expirations, ETF/index rebalances, and related hedging flows can concentrate trading activity and push the index near the close. Monitor the derivatives calendar and any scheduled rebalances for potential intraday distortion around the settlement time.