| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18,999.99 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,000 to 19,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 19,500 to 19,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,000 to 20,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 20,500 to 20,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,000 to 21,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 21,500 to 21,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,000 to 22,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 22,500 to 22,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,000 to 23,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 23,500 to 23,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,000 to 24,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 24,500 to 24,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,000 to 25,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 25,500 to 25,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,000 to 26,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,500 to 26,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 to 27,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,500 to 27,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,000 to 28,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,500 to 28,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 29,000 to 29,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 29,500 to 29,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30,000 to 30,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30,500 to 30,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 31,000 to 31,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 31,500 to 31,999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32,000 to 32,499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 32,500 to 33,000 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 33,000.01 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks what the Nasdaq-100 index will close at on the final trading day of 2026, providing a forward-looking snapshot of collective expectations for large-cap US tech and growth stocks. It matters because the end‑of‑year close is used by investors and funds for performance benchmarks, tax planning, and portfolio positioning going into 2027.
The Nasdaq-100 is a market-cap-weighted index of 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq, with heavy exposure to technology, internet, and growth-oriented sectors. Its year-end level reflects cumulative outcomes from corporate earnings, macroeconomic conditions, monetary policy, and sector-specific developments over 2026. Historical end‑of‑year closes are useful context but outcomes can shift materially as new information arrives throughout the year.
Prices in this market represent the aggregated views of traders about the likely year‑end closing level; they update in real time as participants absorb news and data. Treat market prices as dynamic indicators of sentiment and information flow rather than fixed forecasts.
Settlement is based on the official Nasdaq-100 index closing value on the final trading session of 2026 as published by the index provider; for contract-specific precision, consult the market's settlement rules on the platform.
The 30 outcomes correspond to defined price ranges or brackets for the index close (each outcome covers a specific numeric interval); the exact ranges and cutoffs are listed on the event page and determine which outcome wins at settlement.
If the Nasdaq does not publish a closing value on that calendar day due to holiday or outage, the market follows its published contingency and settlement rules—commonly using the most recent official close or a specified alternate source—so check the contract's rulebook for the exact procedure.
Watch quarterly earnings seasons (especially for the largest index constituents), Federal Reserve policy decisions and minutes, major inflation and employment releases, significant M&A or regulatory news affecting big tech, and large index rebalancings or ETF flows.
Participants include retail traders, institutional investors, hedge funds, algorithmic traders, and market makers; their trades reflect hedging, directional views, and liquidity provision, and their collective activity sets prices that incorporate evolving information about 2026 outcomes.