| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 7,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 8,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 9,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which S&P 500 index level the index will reach by the end of the contract period and is useful for expressing views on overall US equity direction. It matters because it aggregates trader expectations about macro, earnings, and risk events into a tradable price signal.
The S&P 500 is a broad US large-cap equity benchmark whose level reflects aggregate market valuation and sentiment. Historical patterns show the index responds to macro data, Federal Reserve policy, corporate earnings cycles, and geopolitical shocks; multi-outcome markets like this break the continuous range of possible index levels into discrete buckets. With 10 outcomes available and total volume traded visible on the platform, participants can compare how capital is distributed across different potential terminal levels.
In this market, each outcome corresponds to a range of S&P 500 terminal values; market prices reflect collective expectations about which range the index will land in. Use prices and liquidity to gauge market consensus and to size positions, while remembering that prices update continuously as new information arrives.
Each of the 10 outcomes maps to a predefined interval of S&P 500 index levels; the platform lists the exact numeric boundaries for each bin on the market page or in the market rules section—check there to see which index values correspond to each outcome.
Settlement timing and the specific settlement procedure are determined by the contract terms on the platform; 'Closes: TBD' means the final settlement date/time has not been announced, so consult the market rules or announcements for the official settlement timestamp and any late updates.
The market will use a specified S&P 500 index value from an official data provider (typically the S&P Dow Jones Indices feed or an exchange-level reference) as detailed in the contract; the market rules identify the exact ticker and provider used for settlement.
Index composition changes and corporate actions are reflected in the index level itself; settlement follows the published index level per the contract rules, but traders should review the platform’s policy on extraordinary events and adjustments in case of disruptive corporate or market events around settlement.
Experienced traders often spread positions across adjacent outcome bins to hedge directional risk, monitor macro calendar events to time entries, size positions relative to liquidity in each bin, and use stop rules to manage exposure as new information shifts the expected terminal range.