| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 25,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ 25,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| ✓ 26,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| 26,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 26,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 27,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 28,800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 29,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 29,500 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 30,000 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price level the Nasdaq-100 will reach at its highest point during calendar year 2026; it matters because the index's intrayear high influences equity allocations, derivatives pricing, and risk-management decisions.
The Nasdaq-100 is a large-cap, tech-heavy index whose intrayear peak reflects the combined impact of macro policy, corporate earnings, and investor sentiment. Recent years have shown large swings tied to interest-rate cycles, major earnings beats or misses from megacap components, and rapid sector rotation; those patterns provide context but do not determine 2026's outcome. The market on KALSHI offers 20 discrete outcome buckets and remains open until the platform sets a close date (TBD).
Market prices express the crowd’s current assessment of which outcome bucket is most likely to contain the year’s high and will move as new information arrives; they are consensus signals rather than guarantees and should be used alongside fundamental and technical analysis.
Unless the market rules specify otherwise, 'in 2026' refers to the highest official Nasdaq-100 level recorded during regular trading sessions within the calendar year 2026; consult this market's rulebook for the definitive settlement window and time zone.
The 20 outcomes represent discrete price ranges for the Nasdaq-100 peak in 2026; the platform lists the exact numeric breakpoints for each bucket on the event page or in the market specifications—review those before trading to know which bucket matches your view.
'Closes: TBD' means the exchange has not announced a final trading cutoff; trading may remain open until organizers set a close date, so monitor platform announcements because the timing affects when positions can be entered or exited and when settlement rules are locked in.
Settlement typically relies on an official consolidated feed or the index provider’s published level for the Nasdaq-100 (e.g., NDX) on the relevant trading dates; check this market's settlement documentation for the exact data vendor and time-of-day convention used to identify the high.
Reported volume and outcome count give a snapshot of participation and granularity: modest volume relative to large-cap markets can mean wider spreads and more price sensitivity to single trades, while 20 outcome buckets provide fine-grained choices but may fragment liquidity—consider order size and spread when entering positions.