| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| below $4380.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4380.00 to 4419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4420.00 to 4459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4460.00 to 4499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4500.00 to 4539.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4540.00 to 4579.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4580.00 to 4619.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4620.00 to 4659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4660.00 to 4699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4700.00 to 4739.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4740.00 to 4779.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4780.00 to 4819.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4820.00 to 4859.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4860.00 to 4899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4900.00 to 4939.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4940.00 to 4979.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4980.00 to 5019.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5020.00 to 5059.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5060.00 to 5099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5100.00 to 5139.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5140.00 to 5179.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5180.00 to 5219.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5220.00 to 5259.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5260.00 to 5299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5300.00 to 5339.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5340.00 to 5379.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5380.00 to 5419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5420.00 to 5459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5460.00 to 5499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5500.00 to 5539.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5540.00 to 5579.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5580.00 to 5619.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5620.00 to 5659.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5660.00 to 5699.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5700.00 to 5739.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5740.00 to 5779.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5780.00 to 5819.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5820.00 to 5859.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5860.00 to 5899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the USD spot price of gold will be on Mar 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT, an event that matters for traders, hedgers, and anyone tracking macro or commodity risk. Outcomes provide a way to express expectations about the gold price at a precise date and time.
Gold is influenced by real interest rates, currency moves, inflation expectations, central bank activity, and geopolitical risk; developments in any of these areas in early 2026 will affect price levels by the settlement moment. The market sits at the end of Q1 2026, a period when quarterly positioning and economic releases can amplify moves. Historical volatility in the gold market means short-term drivers can quickly change prevailing trends.
Prediction market prices reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants about the outcome at 5pm EDT and should be treated as a continuously updating market signal rather than a definitive forecast. Traders use these prices to express views or hedge exposure, keeping in mind potential late-breaking news and settlement rules.
Resolution uses the official reference price specified by the market operator at or nearest to 5pm EDT; consult the platform's event rules for the precise data vendor and any fallback procedures if the primary source is unavailable.
Trading typically closes before settlement in accordance with the platform's schedule; the market will resolve after the chosen reference price at 5pm EDT is published and any routine validation or verification steps are completed.
Five pm EDT falls during the late U.S. session and coincides with varying levels of activity in global OTC and electronic markets, so liquidity and price formation reflect both U.S. closing flows and ongoing international trading.
Key releases include U.S. inflation and employment reports, the Fed's communications and meeting minutes if around that date, and major global central bank policy announcements or surprise macro data that alter interest-rate or growth expectations.
Large flows in underlying cash, futures, or ETF markets can influence the reference price around settlement; however, most platforms use established reference sources and validation rules to reduce the impact of transient illiquidity or anomalous prints.