| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $4230 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4240 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4250 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4260 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4270 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4280 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4290 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4300 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4310 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4320 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4330 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4340 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4350 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4360 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4370 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4380 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4390 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4400 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4410 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4420 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4430 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4440 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4450 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4460 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4470 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4480 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4490 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4510 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4520 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4530 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4540 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4550 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4560 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4570 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4580 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4590 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4600 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4610 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4620 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi event asks what the spot gold price will be at 5:00 PM EDT on March 30, 2026; it matters because that specific timestamp is used to settle a set of discrete outcomes for traders and hedgers focused on short-term precious-metals moves.
Gold is traded globally and its USD-denominated spot price at a precise timestamp reflects a mix of macro conditions, market liquidity and short-term flows. Over recent decades, gold has responded to changes in real interest rates, US dollar moves, central bank policy expectations, and episodes of geopolitical stress, all of which can shift rapidly in the hours and days before settlement.
Market prices on Kalshi translate collective beliefs about which outcome bracket will contain the official spot level at the stated timestamp; consult the event's rules for how the reference price and any tie or fallback procedures will be applied.
The event's official settlement rules specify the reference data feed or exchange and any averaging method; check the Kalshi event page for the named price source and the precise definition (e.g., spot bid/ask midpoint, exchange last trade, or a specific market data vendor).
The page should list a trading close time or whether the market remains open until settlement; some Kalshi events stay open through the settlement timestamp while others close earlier—confirm the posted trading hours and any stated latency or order cutoffs.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price bracket (a range or tick) spanning the possible spot values; review the event's outcome labels to see the exact lower/upper bounds, and note settlement rules for prices that land exactly on a bracket boundary or in the event of ambiguous quotes.
The event terms will describe fallback procedures—common approaches include using the last available trade within a specified window, an alternate feed, or an averaged price over a fallback interval—so consult those rules to know how such contingencies are handled.
Data or communications that affect US rate expectations and liquidity on that day—such as US macro releases, Fed speakers, or major central-bank announcements elsewhere—can move the price; also watch for large equity-market moves or sudden geopolitical developments occurring in the hours before the 5pm EDT timestamp.