| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $4580 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4420 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4500 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4400 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4480 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4490 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4530 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4510 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4550 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4520 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4370 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4360 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4380 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4240 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4270 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4250 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4460 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4320 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4340 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4210 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4410 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4220 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4230 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4430 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4440 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4450 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4470 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4330 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4590 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4200 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4540 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4560 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4300 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4570 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4310 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4260 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4280 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4350 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4390 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4290 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the spot price of gold will be at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 25, 2026. Markets like this matter because they aggregate trader expectations about macroeconomic, monetary, and geopolitical developments that affect gold.
Gold is driven by real interest rates, inflation expectations, US dollar moves, and episodes of market stress; over recent years it has reacted to central bank policy shifts, commodity demand, and safe‑haven flows. By late March 2026, market participants will be watching the cumulative impact of monetary policy decisions, recent inflation prints, and any geopolitical tensions when forming views for this timestamp.
Market prices for each outcome reflect the collective view of traders about where gold will trade at that exact timestamp; movements in those prices over time indicate how new information changes expectations, not a guaranteed prediction.
The instrument settles to the authoritative spot gold price specified on the contract page (the platform will name the reference feed or exchange). The settlement uses the published value at 5:00 PM EDT on that date according to the stated reference; check the event description for the exact source and tie‑breaking rules.
The 40 outcomes partition the possible gold price range into discrete, non‑overlapping price brackets listed on the market page; each outcome corresponds to one of those predefined price intervals, and only the bracket that contains the official settlement price is the winning outcome.
Scheduled items that typically move gold include US CPI/PCE releases, employment reports, any FOMC statement or minutes, testimony from central bank officials, and major macro data from other large economies—especially if they arrive in the hours or days leading up to the 5pm EDT settlement.
A material surprise can rapidly shift spot prices and thereby the relative attractiveness of different outcome brackets; trading markets usually incorporate such news quickly, so expect outcomes reflecting the new price level to become more prominent ahead of the 5pm settlement.
Settlement follows the platform's stated rules for final price determination; those rules typically identify an initial reference and describe whether later revisions are accepted. If revisions are possible, the event page or rulebook explains the handling and any dispute resolution procedures—consult those documents for this market's specific process.