| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $5369.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5069.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5249.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4829.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4969.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5049.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4789.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4949.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4869.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4809.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4669.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5109.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4689.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4629.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4909.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5169.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5329.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5089.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5269.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4769.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4929.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5129.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5189.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5009.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5229.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5289.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5389.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5349.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5029.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5149.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5209.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4889.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4729.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4989.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4709.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5309.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4849.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4609.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4649.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4749.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the gold spot price will be exactly at 5:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time on March 20, 2026; it lets traders express views on gold at a single timestamp and aggregates market expectations. Outcomes can be used for speculation, hedging, or to gauge market consensus about short‑term drivers of gold.
Gold is priced continuously in global spot and futures markets and is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, monetary policy, and safe‑haven demand. In the months before a target date, expectations about inflation, central‑bank actions, the U.S. dollar, and geopolitical risk typically dominate price moves; discrete events or data releases close to the settlement time can produce rapid changes. This contract resolves to the official price source and interval specified on the event page.
Prediction market odds reflect collective beliefs about which price interval will contain the official gold price at the specified timestamp; they update as new information arrives but do not guarantee the realized outcome. Use the market as a real‑time, tradable indicator of market sentiment rather than a definitive forecast.
The event page and the contract's settlement rules specify the official price feed and any fallback sources; check the market description for the named data provider or settlement methodology, and contact KALSHI support if the source is not clear.
Each outcome corresponds to a labeled price interval or exact price point shown on the market interface; before trading, inspect the outcome labels and the resolution mapping on the event page to see which interval will contain a given official price.
Resolution follows the market's published fallback and dispute procedures: the market will use the alternate data source or nearest available timestamp defined in the rules, or KALSHI may enact its dispute resolution process—refer to the event's resolution policy and support channels for specifics.
The timestamp is specified in Eastern Daylight Time; on March 20, 2026 the U.S. observes DST, so convert 5pm EDT to your local zone using a reliable timezone converter or your device settings to ensure correct timing for trading or monitoring settlement.
Events with strong market impact include Federal Reserve speeches or minutes, major U.S. macro releases (inflation, employment, GDP), large moves in U.S. Treasury yields or the dollar, sudden geopolitical developments, and large ETF or physical bullion flows—any of these occurring close to 5pm EDT can materially influence the settlement price.