| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $5199.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5099.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5119.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5379.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4959.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5039.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4899.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5459.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5519.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4839.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5319.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5299.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5399.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5259.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5339.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5179.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5239.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4999.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5219.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5139.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5159.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5079.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5479.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5279.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4779.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4799.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4859.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4739.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5419.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5439.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4879.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4939.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5499.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5359.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4919.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4819.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4979.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4759.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5059.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5019.99 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which gold price range will contain the spot price on Mar 13, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT; it matters because participants use it to express and trade views on near-term bullion moves tied to macro and geopolitical developments.
Gold prices respond to interest rates, real yields, the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and risk sentiment; the period leading into mid-March 2026 may include macro releases and central bank communications that move the metal. This contract offers 40 discrete outcomes for fine-grained price placement and currently shows closes marked as TBD, so participants should watch the market page for final trading-window details.
Market odds reflect the collective, real-time views of traders about which price bin will hold at the specified timestamp; interpret them as a snapshot of consensus sentiment that can shift as new information arrives.
Settlement uses the reference data source and methodology specified in the market’s contract terms on KALSHI; check the market page for the named exchange/data vendor and the precise measurement rule used at 5:00 PM EDT.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price range (a bin) listed on the event page; the outcome whose bin contains the official settlement price at that timestamp is the winner.
If the close time is listed as TBD, KALSHI will announce the trading cutoff on the market page or via platform notifications prior to settlement; traders should monitor the event page for the official last-trade deadline.
The market’s settlement rules define fallback procedures—examples include using the last available quote, an average over a short window, or a backup data source; consult the contract’s settlement provisions for the specific fallback hierarchy.
Extraordinary events are governed by the market’s dispute and resolution rules; KALSHI typically follows the contract’s guidance on averaging windows, market data verification, or cancelling/voiding results in cases of clear market malfunction—check the market terms for dispute procedures.