| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $4481 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4491 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4501 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4511 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4521 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4531 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4541 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4551 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4561 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4571 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4581 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4591 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4601 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4611 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4621 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4631 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4641 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4651 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4661 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4671 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4681 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4691 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4701 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4711 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4721 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4731 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4741 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4751 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4761 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4771 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4781 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4791 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4801 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4811 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4821 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4831 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4841 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4851 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4861 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4871 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the spot price of gold as of 5:00 PM EDT on April 8, 2026, serving as a gauge for market expectations regarding long-term precious metal valuations. It allows participants to hedge against or speculate on macroeconomic shifts over the next two years.
Gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical instability, often moving inversely to real interest rates and the strength of the U.S. dollar. By April 2026, global central bank policies, fiscal debt levels, and the status of international trade tensions will likely serve as the primary drivers of gold's price discovery. Historical price fluctuations reflect a complex interplay between jewelry demand, industrial use, and gold's role as a primary reserve asset for central banks.
The current market pricing represents the collective sentiment of participants regarding where gold will settle, reflecting the aggregate impact of projected economic data and monetary conditions.
The market resolves based on the gold price at 5:00 PM EDT on April 8, 2026.
Gold is non-yielding; higher interest rates generally make gold less attractive compared to bonds, while lower rates often boost gold prices.
The outcome is settled based on the designated spot gold price index defined in the contract's official rules.
No, this market strictly looks at the price at the specific snapshot time on April 8, 2026; interim volatility is irrelevant to the final payout.
Periods of heightened international conflict often lead to increased demand for gold as investors seek to protect capital, frequently driving prices upward.