| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $4497 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4507 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4517 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4527 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4537 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4547 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4557 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4567 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4577 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4587 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4597 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4607 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4617 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4627 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4637 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4647 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4657 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4667 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4677 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4687 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4697 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4707 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4717 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4727 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4737 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4747 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4757 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4767 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4777 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4787 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4797 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4807 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4817 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4827 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4837 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4847 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4857 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4867 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4877 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $4887 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the spot price of gold as of April 7, 2026, serving as a barometer for market expectations regarding long-term macroeconomic stability. It allows participants to hedge against or speculate on commodity price fluctuations influenced by global monetary conditions.
Gold is traditionally viewed as a 'safe-haven' asset that reacts inversely to real interest rates and currency strength. Market participants monitor central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and inflationary trends as primary drivers of gold’s valuation. By the spring of 2026, the cumulative impact of fiscal policy and debt management cycles will likely have influenced the price significantly.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of traders regarding the price range of gold on the settlement date, aggregating diverse economic outlooks into a single forecast.
The settlement is typically based on a major, transparent financial data provider's spot gold price index at the specified time.
Because gold is denominated in U.S. dollars, a stronger dollar generally makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, often putting downward pressure on prices.
No, this market strictly looks at the spot price at the specific deadline of April 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT, regardless of previous volatility.
The market reflects the market's current assessment of potential future volatility, so participants must account for potential 'black swan' events when placing their positions.
The date is selected to provide a long-term outlook window, allowing traders to position themselves based on multi-year economic forecasts rather than short-term market noise.