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Gold price on Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
40
Markets
40

Trade This Market

Yes Bid
Yes Ask
Last Price
Prev Close
Buy YES → Buy NO

Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (40)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
above $3999.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4019.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4039.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4059.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4079.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4099.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4119.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4139.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4159.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4179.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4199.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4219.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4239.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4259.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4279.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4299.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4319.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4339.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4359.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4379.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4399.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4419.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4439.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4459.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4479.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4499.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4519.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4539.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4559.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4579.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4599.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4619.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4639.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4659.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4679.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4699.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4719.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4739.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4759.99 0%
$0 Trade →
above $4779.99 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market asks what the spot price of gold will be on Apr 3, 2026 at 5pm EDT; it matters because the price at that specific timestamp is used to settle discrete outcome bins and reflects market views on macro, monetary, and geopolitical factors. Traders use markets like this to express expectations or hedge exposures to short‑term gold moves.

The contract is hosted on KALSHI and offers 40 discrete outcomes that cover possible price ranges for the spot gold price at the specified timestamp; the market close time is listed as TBD and current traded volume is shown as $0. Gold is sensitive to real interest rates, US dollar moves, central bank activity, ETF flows and abrupt risk‑off events — all of which can move prices in the days and hours before Apr 3. Historical patterns show gold can react sharply to surprise macro prints and policy statements, so the period immediately before 5pm EDT is often the most relevant.

Prediction market odds aggregate participant beliefs about which outcome bin will contain the official reference price at 5pm EDT; changes in odds reflect new information, not hard probabilities, so use them as a real‑time consensus signal rather than a guarantee of outcome.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

What specific outcomes are available in this KALSHI market and how are they structured?

This event is divided into 40 discrete outcome bins that each correspond to a price range for the spot gold price at Apr 3, 2026 5pm EDT; consult the market page on KALSHI to see the exact numeric boundaries and labels for each bin before trading.

How is the reference gold price determined for settlement at Apr 3, 2026 5pm EDT?

Settlement uses a defined reference source and aggregation method specified in the contract terms (for example a particular exchange or price feed and an exact timestamp); check the event rules on KALSHI to confirm which data provider and timestamp are used for this market.

Which news and data releases should I watch that could move the gold price before the 5pm EDT settlement?

Monitor US macro releases (inflation, employment, GDP) and central bank communications scheduled up to and including Apr 3, as well as any unexpected geopolitical developments or major market shocks that occur before the settlement timestamp, since those events commonly drive short‑term gold volatility.

How does having 40 outcomes affect how I should place trades for the Apr 3, 2026 5pm EDT settlement?

More outcome bins increase granularity: you can target a narrow price range but may face thinner liquidity per bin; consider trading nearer bins for higher liquidity or use combinations of outcomes to hedge, and review order book depth on KALSHI before executing.

What happens if the reference price feed is unavailable or disputed at the settlement time for Apr 3, 2026 5pm EDT?

The event contract typically specifies fallback and dispute resolution procedures (alternate data sources, time adjustments, or arbitration) — consult KALSHI's settlement and dispute rules on the event page to understand how such cases are handled for this specific market.

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