| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.17000 or above | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 23% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $306 | Trade → |
| 1.14400 to 1.14599 | 9% | 0¢ | 40¢ | — | $159 | Trade → |
| 1.1439899999999998 or below | 20% | 0¢ | 35¢ | — | $134 | Trade → |
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 20% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $71 | Trade → |
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $45 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 16% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $11 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 12% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $7 | Trade → |
| 1.14600 to 1.14799 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which EUR/USD price range will contain the spot exchange rate at 10:00 AM EDT on March 9, 2026. It matters because it condenses short‑term FX expectations into a set of tradeable outcomes that respond quickly to news and data.
EUR/USD reflects the relative economic outlook, interest rate expectations, and risk sentiment for the eurozone versus the United States. In the weeks around early March, markets typically respond to macro releases, central bank communications, and any geopolitical developments that affect safe‑haven flows or risk appetite. Because FX is traded 24/5 and highly liquid, outcomes can move quickly as new information arrives.
Prediction market prices are an aggregation of trader expectations and liquidity; they signal how participants collectively view which price bucket is most likely at the snapshot time. Treat the market state as a continuously updated indicator rather than a fixed forecast, and consult the event rules for settlement details.
The event description on the platform lists the official reference data source and the exact snapshot method (for example, a specific market feed and whether a single tick, last trade, or an averaged price is used). Check that event rule on the KALSHI page for the authoritative settlement mechanism.
The 15 outcomes correspond to mutually exclusive contiguous price buckets that together cover a range of EUR/USD values at the snapshot time. The exact numerical boundaries for each outcome are shown on the event page; at settlement the observed reference price is mapped to the single outcome whose range contains that price.
Because settlement is based on the reference price at the specified timestamp, late intraday moves can change which bucket contains the snapshot price. Traders should be aware of liquidity, potential spikes, and any averaging rules in the event documentation that can blunt or amplify last‑minute volatility.
10:00 AM EDT on March 9, 2026 corresponds to 14:00 UTC, since U.S. daylight saving time begins on March 8, 2026.
Confirmation timing depends on the platform’s verification and settlement process. The operator will obtain the official reference rate, perform any necessary checks, and then publish the settled outcome—refer to the event page for the expected announcement window and any procedures for disputes or data anomalies.