| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 23% | 14¢ | 25¢ | — | $93 | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 10% | 10¢ | 20¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 5% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $18 | Trade → |
| 1.1479899999999998 or below | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $16 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 13¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 0% | 5¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17000 to 1.17199 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 0% | 3¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 0% | 8¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17200 to 1.17399 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which predefined EUR/USD price range will contain the spot exchange rate at 10:00am EST on March 5, 2026. It matters to FX traders, hedgers, and macro observers because it encapsulates short‑term expectations about rates, volatility, and news impact at a precise timestamp.
EUR/USD around early 2026 will reflect the interaction of US and euro‑area monetary policy, growth differentials, and any ongoing geopolitical risks or commodity shocks. Historical context includes multi‑year trends in rate normalization, inflation dynamics, and episodic risk‑off moves that drive capital flows between the dollar and the euro. Short‑term moves into a single timestamp often hinge on scheduled data releases and central‑bank communications in the days around the event.
Market prices here represent participants expressing which discrete price band they expect to contain the official spot rate at 10:00am EST on March 5, 2026; they aggregate diverse views into a tradable consensus. Interpret them as a live, crowd‑sourced snapshot of expectations, remembering that they evolve as new information arrives and liquidity changes.
Each outcome corresponds to a predefined price band; upon resolution the single outcome whose band contains the official EUR/USD spot rate at 10:00am EST on March 5, 2026 will be declared the winner. Check the market page for exact band endpoints and whether endpoints are inclusive or exclusive.
Resolution will use the market’s designated reference price for EUR/USD at the specified timestamp, as defined in the event rules; the event page or rulebook names the data vendor or exchange used and any tie‑breaking procedures. If the event page lists 'TBD', monitor the market rules or announcements for the authoritative source before trading.
More outcomes mean finer granularity in the implied expectations, allowing traders to express precise views on where the spot rate will land; however, each additional band typically fragments liquidity across outcomes, which can widen effective spreads and increase price impact for trades in any single band.
Low aggregate volume suggests limited participation and thinner liquidity for this specific event, so prices may be more sensitive to individual trades and less robust as a consensus signal; consider smaller position sizes, use limit orders, and be aware that quoted prices may move substantially as volume changes.
Key movers typically include central‑bank statements or speeches from Fed/ECB officials, high‑impact US or euro‑area macro releases (inflation, employment, GDP), and any major geopolitical developments; the precise impact depends on timing relative to 10:00am EST and market expectations heading into the timestamp.