| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.17200 to 1.17399 | 8% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $158 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 7% | 3¢ | 16¢ | — | $45 | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 28% | 11¢ | 27¢ | — | $20 | Trade → |
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 24% | 8¢ | 25¢ | — | $19 | Trade → |
| 1.1479899999999998 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 0% | 0¢ | 15¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17000 to 1.17199 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 14¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 0% | 9¢ | 26¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 4¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This KALSHI market asks which discrete price range the EUR/USD exchange rate will be in at 10:00 a.m. EST on March 4, 2026, a near-term snapshot important for traders, corporate hedgers, and anyone exposed to FX risk around that timestamp.
EUR/USD is the most widely traded currency pair and typically reflects interest‑rate differentials, macroeconomic surprises, central bank guidance, and risk sentiment. In the days and weeks before Mar 4, 2026, participants will be watching recent Eurozone and U.S. data releases, central bank communications, market positioning and any geopolitical developments that can shift flows or volatility.
Prices in this market express the consensus view of participants about which discrete range will contain the spot EUR/USD rate at the specified time; moves in market prices indicate changing expectations and risk appetite rather than fixed forecasts.
The market resolves using the pricing source and resolution rules specified on the contract page; check the event’s detailed rules to see which exchange or aggregated feed is the official reference for the 10:00 a.m. EST reading.
The 15 outcomes partition the possible EUR/USD values at the timestamp into mutually exclusive price bands; the market description lists the boundaries for each named outcome so you can see which band corresponds to each contract.
If an exact timestamp quote is unavailable, the contract will follow the platform’s fallback resolution procedure (for example a nearby time sample or designated fixing window) as outlined in the market’s rules — consult the contract resolution section for specifics.
Total volume shows the cumulative trading activity so far and gives a sense of participation; low volume does not prevent resolution but may indicate thinner liquidity and potentially wider spreads if you trade now.
The platform sets the official trading cutoff and finalization timetable; because the market currently shows 'TBD' for close, check the contract page or platform notices for updates on trading hours and any last‑trade deadlines before resolution.