| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 28% | 11¢ | 23¢ | — | $96 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 22% | 6¢ | 23¢ | — | $22 | Trade → |
| 1.1599899999999999 or below | 10% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| 1.17000 to 1.17199 | 28% | 12¢ | 24¢ | — | $6 | Trade → |
| 1.18600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.18200 to 1.18399 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 0¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.18000 to 1.18199 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.18400 to 1.18599 | 0% | 0¢ | 9¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 0% | 0¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17400 to 1.17599 | 0% | 2¢ | 19¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17800 to 1.17999 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17200 to 1.17399 | 0% | 8¢ | 25¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17600 to 1.17799 | 0% | 0¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which pre-defined EUR/USD price range will contain the spot exchange rate at 10:00 AM EST on March 3, 2026. It matters because it offers a compact way to express and trade views about FX moves at a specific timestamp tied to macro and policy events.
EUR/USD is the most liquid currency pair and is driven by differences in monetary policy, macro data, and global risk sentiment. Around early March, market attention typically centers on central bank communications, headline inflation and employment releases, and any geopolitical shocks that shift safe-haven flows. Short-term moves into the exact timestamp can be dominated by scheduled data or unexpected news arriving in the hours before settlement.
Market prices here reflect the crowd’s consensus expectation about which interval will contain the reference EUR/USD spot at the specified timestamp; they are a dynamic, tradable expression of that expectation, not a guarantee of the outcome.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific, pre-defined contiguous interval of EUR/USD rates; the outcome that wins is the interval that contains the reference spot rate at 10:00 AM EST on March 3, 2026, as determined by the market’s settlement rules and data feed.
The market page lists the official trading close (currently TBD); final settlement is based on the designated reference price at the exact timestamp specified in the contract terms, using the platform’s chosen data source and any rounding rules described in the market details.
The 15 outcomes divide the plausible range of EUR/USD into adjacent price intervals; consult the market description on the platform to see the precise numeric boundaries for each outcome before trading so you know which interval you're backing.
Releases that typically move EUR/USD near that time include key U.S. data (employment, inflation, ISM-type releases) and any Eurozone inflation or PMIs, plus targeted Fed or ECB commentary; check an up-to-date economic calendar for the exact items and times on March 3, 2026.
Sudden news can spike volatility, widen spreads, and lead to rapid re-pricing; the settled outcome is still determined by the official reference price at 10:00 AM EST, so traders managing exposure around the close should use appropriate order types, monitor liquidity, and review the platform’s rules on trade execution and settlement.