| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1479899999999998 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17000 to 1.17199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17200 to 1.17399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which EUR/USD price range the spot rate will fall into at 10:00 AM EDT on March 26, 2026; it matters because short‑term FX positioning reflects incoming data, central‑bank signals, and liquidity conditions that traders and hedgers monitor. Market outcomes can inform views on near‑term risk and hedging needs for euro and dollar exposures.
EUR/USD is driven by relative monetary policy between the European Central Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve, differences in growth and inflation, and geopolitical risk; in the months leading up to March 2026, market participants will be watching economic releases, central‑bank communications, and any major political developments in the U.S. or euro area. This specific contract on KALSHI offers 15 discrete, mutually exclusive price‑range outcomes that together cover a band of possible spot values at the snapshot time.
Odds/prices displayed on the market are the platform’s real‑time aggregation of trader demand for each range and should be read as relative market beliefs that change as news and order flow arrive. They are a summary of market sentiment at any moment, not a guaranteed prediction of the final settlement.
10:00 AM EDT corresponds to Eastern Daylight Time on March 26, 2026 (EDT = UTC‑4); platforms typically use a precise timestamp (e.g., 14:00:00 UTC) for settlement—confirm the event details on the KALSHI page for the official timestamp used.
Settlement methodology is set in the event rules: some contracts use a single quoted spot from a specified market data provider at the given timestamp, others use a short time‑weighted average. Check the event's settlement source and rules on KALSHI to know which method applies to this market.
Using 15 discrete ranges is a common market design choice that balances resolution and tradability: it provides finer granularity than a few broad buckets while keeping each outcome liquid enough for trading and settlement.
Tie‑break or boundary rules are specified in the event's settlement terms; typical approaches include assigning the boundary price to one defined bucket or using a rounding rule—verify the exact tie‑break procedure in the contract documentation on KALSHI.
Monitor the economic calendar for U.S. and euro‑area releases in the days and hours before the snapshot (inflation, employment, PMIs, GDP) and any central‑bank speeches or data that may revise policy expectations; the platform’s event page or a reliable macro calendar will list scheduled announcements that could materially affect EUR/USD ahead of settlement.