| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.18000 to 1.18199 | 19% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $272 | Trade → |
| 1.17200 to 1.17399 | 29% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $182 | Trade → |
| 1.18400 to 1.18599 | 1% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $174 | Trade → |
| 1.18200 to 1.18399 | 5% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $167 | Trade → |
| 1.1659899999999999 or below | 2% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $159 | Trade → |
| 1.17800 to 1.17999 | 1% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $120 | Trade → |
| 1.18800 to 1.18999 | 16% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $76 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 11% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $62 | Trade → |
| 1.17000 to 1.17199 | 13% | 29¢ | 70¢ | — | $14 | Trade → |
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 10% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $12 | Trade → |
| 1.17600 to 1.17799 | 29% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| 1.19000 to 1.19199 | 0% | 0¢ | 11¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.19200 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17400 to 1.17599 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.18600 to 1.18799 | 0% | 0¢ | 99¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which price range the EUR/USD spot rate will be in at 10:00 AM EST on March 2, 2026; it matters because short-term FX moves affect trading, hedging, and macro risk assessments. Market prices reflect collective expectations about EUR/USD at that specific timestamp.
EUR/USD is driven by differences in monetary policy, growth and inflation trends in the euro area versus the United States, and risk sentiment; developments in any of those areas in the days before March 2 can shift expectations. The specific timestamp falls during active market hours when liquidity and cross-market flows can amplify moves, and outcomes can be influenced by scheduled economic data, central-bank announcements, or geopolitical shocks around that date.
Market odds indicate which price-range outcome traders currently expect to occur at the specified time; they update as new information arrives and should be interpreted as the market consensus view rather than a guarantee.
The winning outcome is the price range that contains the official EUR/USD reference rate reported at the exact settlement timestamp, as defined by the platform's settlement rules; check the market's rule page for the official price source and tie-breaking procedures.
Close-to-trade and lock times are set by the market operator and may be posted on the Kalshi market page; generally, positions must be entered or closed before the platform publishes the official close time, after which no further trades or edits are allowed prior to settlement.
The 15 outcomes are contiguous, non-overlapping price intervals that together cover the market's defined range; exact interval boundaries and the lowest/highest buckets are listed on the market page and determine which bucket contains the settlement rate.
Yes — material news such as central-bank announcements, surprise economic data, or large geopolitical events can shift exchange-rate direction and volatility, which will change the market's view of which price-range outcome is most plausible at the settlement time.
At settlement, contracts corresponding to the winning price-range outcome pay out according to the platform's payout rules and losing contracts expire worthless; consult the market's settlement and payout documentation for details on payout amounts and timing.