| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14600 to 1.14799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14200 to 1.14399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.1379899999999998 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14000 to 1.14199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.13800 to 1.13999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14400 to 1.14599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of 15 predefined price ranges the EUR/USD exchange rate will fall into at 10:00 AM EDT on March 18, 2026. It matters because that snapshot captures short‑term FX positioning and can inform hedges, trading signals, and views on monetary policy and macro risk.
EUR/USD reflects the relative economic and monetary policy outlook for the Eurozone versus the United States; near-term moves are driven by central bank guidance, major macro releases, and shifts in global risk appetite. Intraday behavior often shows larger moves around scheduled announcements and during the European–U.S. session overlap when liquidity and flow activity are highest.
Market odds aggregate participants' views about which price-range will be true at the specified time and update as new information arrives. Treat them as a real‑time consensus indicator rather than a certainty, and combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
The winning outcome is determined by the spot EUR/USD price at exactly 10:00 AM EDT according to the market's specified price source and rounding rules. Consult the market description on KALSHI for the authoritative resolution methodology and any post‑trade adjustments or dispute procedures.
They are adjacent price buckets that together cover a continuum of possible EUR/USD levels at the settlement timestamp; the outcome whose range contains the official spot rate at 10:00 AM EDT is the winner per the market's resolution rules.
The market page will list the trading cutoff and settlement timetable; because this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', participants should monitor the KALSHI listing for an announced trading cutoff and the timeframe for official settlement after rate determination.
Any high‑impact U.S. or Eurozone releases published in the hours before 10:00 AM EDT (for example, inflation or employment data and central bank speeches) or surprise geopolitical headlines can drive intraday EUR/USD swings; check the economic calendar for exact items scheduled around that date and time.
Review prior same‑time snapshots and comparable announcement days to gauge typical intraday range and responsiveness, but adjust judgments for the current macro backdrop, scheduled events, and liquidity conditions—use history to inform range-selection and risk sizing, not as a deterministic forecast.