| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.15800 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14400 to 1.14599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14200 to 1.14399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14000 to 1.14199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.13200 to 1.13399 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.13800 to 1.13999 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14600 to 1.14799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.13400 to 1.13599 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.13600 to 1.13799 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.1319899999999998 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which price range the EUR/USD spot rate will fall into at 10:00 a.m. EDT on March 16, 2026. It matters because traders and observers use outcome prices to express views about near-term exchange-rate moves and to hedge or speculate around macro events concentrated in mid‑March.
EUR/USD at a precise timestamp reflects the interplay between US and euro‑area economic data, central bank stances, and short‑term risk sentiment. Mid‑March is often an active period for policy and data releases, so order flow, liquidity, and any contemporaneous headlines can produce rapid movement into the settled snapshot. Historical episodes show that policy surprises, large data beats/misses, and geopolitical shocks commonly move the pair around key timestamps.
Prediction market prices (odds) are a live, aggregate expression of participant expectations about which fixed price range will hold at the settlement timestamp; they update as new information arrives and as traders place orders. Use them as a real‑time barometer of market beliefs, not as a guaranteed forecast or trading recommendation.
The winning outcome is determined by the EUR/USD spot price at exactly 10:00 a.m. EDT on March 16, 2026, as measured by the market's official price source—consult the market rules or event page for the precise data source and tie‑break procedures.
The 15 outcomes partition a continuum of EUR/USD values into adjacent, mutually exclusive price ranges; each outcome corresponds to one specific interval. See the event page for the exact numeric boundaries of each range.
Any central‑bank announcements or meeting minutes, high‑impact US or euro‑area macro data releases, and major geopolitical headlines occurring shortly before or at the timestamp are most likely to move the spot price used to settle this market.
Low volume means prices may reflect few trades and limited information, so quoted odds can be more volatile and sensitive to single orders; that increases execution risk and the possibility that prices move materially with modest trading activity.
No. Settlement is based solely on the EUR/USD price at the specified timestamp. News arriving after that moment does not alter the resolved outcome, though it can affect subsequent related markets.