| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 20% | 8¢ | 18¢ | — | $9 | Trade → |
| 1.16800 to 1.16999 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 8¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.1479899999999998 or below | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17200 to 1.17399 | 0% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 6¢ | 16¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 1¢ | 12¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17400 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 0% | 11¢ | 22¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 to 1.16799 | 0% | 0¢ | 7¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 10¢ | 21¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.17000 to 1.17199 | 0% | 0¢ | 5¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 12¢ | 23¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 0% | 3¢ | 13¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which EUR/USD price range will obtain at 10:00 AM EDT on March 12, 2026. It matters for traders and hedgers seeking to express or manage short‑term FX exposure around that exact timestamp.
EUR/USD is driven by monetary policy differentials between the European Central Bank and the U.S. Federal Reserve, macroeconomic releases, and shifts in global risk sentiment; these forces have historically produced intraday moves that determine which price interval materializes at a specified time. Market participants will also monitor scheduled data and central‑bank communications in the days and hours leading up to March 12, 2026, all of which are reflected in live trading until the market closes.
Prediction market prices represent the market‑implied relative likelihoods of each price‑range outcome at the specified timestamp and update as new information arrives; they are indicators of consensus expectation, not guarantees of a particular outcome.
The event resolves based on the specific price feed and timestamp defined in the contract rules on KALSHI; consult the market's rule/description page to see whether resolution uses an instantaneous tick at 10:00:00 AM EDT, a specified exchange or data vendor, or an averaging window.
The 15 outcomes are contiguous, mutually exclusive EUR/USD intervals listed on the market page; the single outcome that contains the reference price at the resolution timestamp is the winning outcome—exact interval boundaries are provided by the event listing.
Any market‑moving release that affects spot before 10:00 AM EDT will be reflected in the resolved outcome; trading prices will typically react immediately to such releases, and the final reference price will incorporate that information if it occurs prior to the contractual resolution timestamp.
Trading hours and the final cutoff are set by KALSHI and shown on the market page; because the listing notes 'Closes: TBD', check the event details for the confirmed trading cutoff—typically you can trade until the stated close and are unable to place new orders after that point.
Use the contract to take a targeted short‑term view or hedge exposure that is specifically tied to the 10:00 AM EDT price on that date; account for contract granularity, liquidity, fees, and the risk that new information arriving before market close will shift market prices and the relative attractiveness of outcomes.