| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.15800 to 1.15999 | 22% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $29 | Trade → |
| 1.16000 to 1.16199 | 98% | 1¢ | 98¢ | — | $27 | Trade → |
| 1.1399899999999998 or below | 8% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $23 | Trade → |
| 1.14200 to 1.14399 | 0% | 0¢ | 10¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14400 to 1.14599 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14000 to 1.14199 | 0% | 0¢ | 6¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16400 to 1.16599 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15200 to 1.15399 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15000 to 1.15199 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16200 to 1.16399 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14600 to 1.14799 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.14800 to 1.14999 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.16600 or above | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15600 to 1.15799 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| 1.15400 to 1.15599 | 0% | 0¢ | 98¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which EUR/USD price range will contain the spot exchange rate at 10:00 AM EDT on March 10, 2026. It matters to FX traders, corporate hedgers, and macro investors who want to express or hedge views about short-term currency moves.
EUR/USD is the most liquid currency pair and is driven by relative monetary policy, macro data, and risk sentiment; settlement on a fixed timestamp makes this a short-dated directional/volatility wager. Markets around early March can be sensitive to central bank messaging, scheduled U.S. and euro-area releases, and any unexpected geopolitical or liquidity shocks. Historical intraday volatility around major announcements means the exact outcome can hinge on events in the hours immediately before settlement.
Prices in this prediction market reflect the market's collective view of where the spot rate will be at the specified timestamp; they move as new information arrives and are not guarantees. Use them as a real-time indicator of market consensus combined with your own analysis and risk management.
Settlement is determined by the official timestamp listed in the market: 10:00:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) on March 10, 2026, which is UTC‑4 on that date; the platform will use that precise timestamp to read the reference price.
The market resolves to the exchange rate source specified in the event rules on the platform (commonly an institutional FX spot feed or a consolidated market rate); check the event details on the platform for the named reference provider and any rounding or aggregation method.
The 15 outcomes partition possible EUR/USD levels into contiguous ranges that cover the relevant interval; the outcome whose defined interval contains the reference spot rate at the official timestamp is the winning outcome, subject to the platform's precise endpoint inclusion rules described in the event page.
Boundary treatment (whether an endpoint is inclusive or exclusive) is specified in the market's settlement rules; consult the event page for the inclusion convention — the platform's official rule determines which adjacent range resolves in that case.
Contingency procedures are governed by the platform's resolution policy: common outcomes include using an alternative specified data source, averaging nearby ticks over a short window, or voiding/pausing settlement; review the market's dispute and contingency provisions on the event page for the exact process.