| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| below $4.61 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.61 to 4.66 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.67 to 4.72 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.73 to 4.78 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.79 to 4.84 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.85 to 4.90 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.91 to 4.96 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $4.97 to 5.02 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.03 to 5.08 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.09 to 5.14 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.15 to 5.20 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.21 to 5.26 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.27 to 5.32 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.33 to 5.38 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.39 to 5.44 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.45 to 5.50 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.51 to 5.56 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.57 to 5.62 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.63 to 5.68 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.69 to 5.74 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.75 to 5.80 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.81 to 5.86 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.87 to 5.92 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.93 to 5.98 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $5.99 to 6.04 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.05 to 6.10 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.11 to 6.16 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.17 to 6.22 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.23 to 6.28 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.29 to 6.34 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.35 to 6.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.41 to 6.46 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.47 to 6.52 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.53 to 6.58 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.59 to 6.64 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.65 to 6.70 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.71 to 6.76 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.77 to 6.82 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| $6.83 to 6.88 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $6.88 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the spot copper price will be at 5:00 PM EDT on March 31, 2026; it matters because copper is a widely traded industrial metal whose price reflects demand for construction, electronics and electrification. Traders use such contracts to hedge exposure or express views on macro and commodity-specific developments ahead of that timestamp.
Copper prices are driven by long-term structural demand from electrification and infrastructure as well as short-term supply shocks from mine disruptions, labor actions, and inventory swings on major exchanges. Geopolitical events, global growth rates (notably in large consumers such as China), and changes in recycling or substitution also shape the market over multi-year horizons.
Market odds on this contract summarize the trading community's collective view about the likely price range at the specified timestamp; they evolve with new data, news, and positions and should be read as a dynamic signal, not a guaranteed forecast.
The event will be settled according to the price source and settlement definition specified in the KALSHI contract terms; consult the event page or platform rules for whether settlement uses a particular exchange (LME/COMEX/SHFE), spot quote, or an official administrative fix at the stated timestamp.
A 'Closes: TBD' label means the platform has not set the contract trading cutoff yet; trading may continue until KALSHI announces a close time. Plan for positions to remain tradable until the platform posts a specific close or until shortly before the settlement timestamp; check the event page regularly for updates.
KALSHI's published settlement rules typically include fallback procedures (for example, using the next available official price, a designated exchange's published close, or an average over a fallback window). Refer to the platform's dispute and fallback provisions for the exact process that will apply.
Examine past seasonal demand cycles (spring construction demand in key markets), recent multi-year trends in mine output and stock levels, prior supply shocks (e.g., strikes or weather events), and how copper reacted around major macro announcements and end-of-quarter flows in previous years.
Large miners' production updates, major consumers' inventory or procurement reports, official exchange warehouse movements, central bank policy decisions and macroeconomic releases, and sudden supply disruptions (weather, strikes, ports) are the types of developments most likely to shift market pricing for this contract.