| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above $5.05 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.07 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.09 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.11 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.13 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.15 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.17 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.19 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.21 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.23 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.25 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.27 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.29 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.31 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.33 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.35 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.37 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.39 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.41 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.43 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.45 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.47 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.49 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.51 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.53 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.55 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.57 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.59 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.61 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.63 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.65 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.67 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.69 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.71 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.73 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.75 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.77 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.79 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.81 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| above $5.83 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the reported copper price will be on Mar 29, 2026 at 6pm EDT; it matters because copper is a widely used industrial metal whose price at a specific timestamp affects traders, hedgers, and portfolios. The event lets participants express expectations about where the market will be at that exact settlement time.
Copper prices are driven by a mix of supply-side developments (mine output, concentrate availability, refinery capacity) and demand-side activity (manufacturing, construction, and electrical/electronics demand, especially from China). Macro factors such as interest rates, US dollar moves, inventory levels at exchanges, and freight/logistics disruptions have historically produced short-term swings around key dates. End-of-quarter positioning, inventory reports, and major macro data released around late March can be particularly relevant to this timestamp.
Market odds in this event reflect the market's collective view of which discrete price outcome is most likely at the settlement timestamp and will update as participants trade new information. Use odds as a real-time signal of changing expectations, and always verify settlement rules on the event page before drawing firm conclusions.
The settlement timestamp is Mar 29, 2026 at 18:00 Eastern Daylight Time; verify the event page for any daylight-saving adjustments or official publisher clarifications, since the market uses that precise timestamp to read the designated price source.
The contract's settlement rules specify the authoritative price feed or exchange print; check the KALSHI event page under 'Settlement Source' because the exact venue or benchmark (e.g., LME cash, CME futures front-month mid-price, or an external index) is defined there and governs settlement.
Outcome formatting is shown on the event page: markets with many outcomes typically use discrete price buckets that partition a price range into 40 labeled intervals or levels; consult the outcomes table on the KALSHI page to see the exact ranges and endpoints used for settlement.
Fallback settlement procedures are defined in the event's rules; common approaches include using the most recent available print, an alternate agreed data source, or an average over a short nearby window—check the KALSHI event terms for the specific contingency protocol for this market.
Key items to monitor include China manufacturing and trade reports, regional PMIs released in late March, any mine supply announcements or strike news, LME/COMEX inventory movements, scheduled central-bank communications that affect FX and rates, and large ETF or proprietary trading flows that can shift short-term prices near the settlement time.