| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazar, 3% and above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Lazar, 0 to 3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 0 to 3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 3 to 6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 6 to 9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 9 to 12% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 12 to 15% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 15 to 18% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Taylor, 18% and above | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which margin of victory will decide the Wisconsin Supreme Court race by offering multiple margin-based outcomes; it matters because the size of the win affects legal and political narratives about voter sentiment and court legitimacy.
Wisconsin Supreme Court elections have recently drawn national attention due to the court's role on high-profile state policy and the partisan stakes behind ostensibly nonpartisan races. These contests are often influenced by turnout patterns in concurrent elections, organized outside spending, and regional voting differences across the state.
Market prices aggregate traders' information and expectations about which margin range will prevail and will move as new information arrives; use them as a real-time synthesis of available signals rather than a final legal determination.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific margin-of-victory range for the race; consult the market contract page for the precise numeric bins and resolution rules used by this market.
The market currently lists the close time as TBD; the final close and resolution will follow the exchange's stated event conditions—typically tied to an official result or a specific post-election time noted on the contract page.
Resolution follows the market's rulebook: most contracts use the official certified result after all recounts and legal processes conclude, so any certified change will determine which margin outcome resolves as winning.
Recent contests have frequently been competitive and influenced by localized turnout swings and outside spending; historians and analysts often point to narrow results and the importance of county-level shifts rather than landslide margins.
Yes—major endorsements, late advertising blitzes, or newsworthy events can shift trader expectations quickly; markets typically react in real time, so the impact is seen immediately after high-visibility developments.