| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Unity – National Movement | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which side will win the next Georgian parliamentary election. The outcome matters because parliamentary control determines the government coalition, domestic reforms, and Georgia's foreign policy direction.
Georgia is a parliamentary democracy with a history of competitive and often polarized elections; coalitions and post‑election bargaining commonly determine who forms government. Recent decades have featured strong public debate over EU/NATO integration, relations with Russia, rule‑of‑law reforms, and economic performance, all of which shape electoral dynamics.
Market prices represent the collective expectations of participants based on available information and will change as new events and data arrive; they are not guarantees of the final result but a continuously updated signal of perceived likelihoods.
Outcome labels are defined on the market page; typically they correspond to distinct parties or blocs (for example, the ruling party/coalition versus opposition). Check the event description for the precise wording used to determine which outcome wins.
Resolution follows the market's rules: normally it resolves when an official, certified result for the next parliamentary election is declared. If the election is postponed, the market stays open until a new official date and certification or until exchange rules specify an alternative resolution procedure.
The market settles according to the outcome definitions shown on the event page. If the label is a specific party, that party must meet the market's stated condition (for example, winning a plurality or forming a governing coalition), as detailed in the market’s resolution terms.
Settlement is based on official election results and certifications issued by Georgia’s Central Election Commission or other legally designated authorities, and on any additional criteria specified in the market’s resolution rules.
Major campaign developments (candidate withdrawals, high‑profile endorsements), credible opinion polls, legal rulings on candidacies or election procedures, sudden economic shocks, and international diplomatic actions or statements are the kinds of information that commonly shift market prices.