| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francia Márquez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Federico Gutiérrez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alejandro Char | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vicky Dávila | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sergio Fajardo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Iván Cepeda Castro | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gustavo Bolívar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniel Quintero | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Santiago Botero | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paloma Valencia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Juan Carlos Pinzón | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This KALSHI market asks which individual will win the next Colombian presidential election; it aggregates trader expectations about the eventual winner. Market prices and activity provide a real‑time signal of how participants interpret campaign developments and risks.
Colombia's presidency shapes policy on security, drug policy, economic reform, and international relations, and elections are influenced by regional dynamics and recent peace process developments. Political alliances, voter turnout, and socioeconomic trends have mattered in recent cycles and will shape the next contest. Longstanding issues such as rural development, crime, and public finances remain central to campaign agendas.
Market prices reflect the collective assessments of participants and update as new information arrives; higher trading volume generally increases reliability of those signals. Treat prices as a summary of market beliefs, not a definitive prediction, and consult official sources for election rules and results.
This event lists 12 outcomes; each outcome corresponds to a specific candidate or named winner option offered by the market operator.
The close time is listed as TBD; the market will resolve according to KALSHI's published rules, typically after an official winner is known or when the platform sets the market's closing condition.
Total volume traded ($112,813) measures how much money has been exchanged on the market and serves as a proxy for liquidity and participant interest; larger volume usually means prices are informed by more trades.
Major campaign announcements, polls, debates, candidate withdrawals or endorsements, economic releases, security incidents, and legal rulings can all shift market prices as participants update expectations.
Runoff possibilities affect trader expectations and may change price dynamics; depending on KALSHI's rules the market may remain open until a final winner is declared or have separate resolution conditions—check the market's terms for specifics.