| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which named candidate will be the ultimate winner of the Vermont Attorney General race. It matters because the Attorney General leads statewide legal strategy and enforcement priorities that affect policy, businesses, and residents across Vermont.
The Attorney General is Vermont’s chief legal officer and handles matters like criminal appeals, consumer protection, and representation of the state in court. Vermont typically leans toward one major party in statewide contests, but outcomes depend on the candidate profiles, local issues, and turnout dynamics in any given cycle.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as new information arrives; they are a real-time signal of market sentiment rather than a definitive prediction of the final outcome.
The event page lists the two exact outcome labels (the candidate names or labels) that will be used for settlement; consult the KALSHI event page to see the current labels.
Resolution depends on the event description on the market page; most markets titled like this refer to the general election winner and resolve to the candidate officially declared or certified as winner, but you should verify the event wording for this specific market.
The market close is shown on the exchange as TBD for this event; resolution typically follows the official count and certification process as defined in the market rules, so check the KALSHI event page and the exchange’s resolution policy for exact timing.
Settlement normally uses the candidate officially certified as winner by Vermont’s election authorities (e.g., the Secretary of State) or another authority named in the market rules; verify the market’s resolution criteria on the event page.
Track campaign announcements, major endorsements, fundraising reports, statewide polling, local turnout indicators, legal or ethical developments involving candidates, and any late-breaking news that could change voter preferences or the administrative timetable for certification.