| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will win the North Dakota Attorney General race; it matters because the Attorney General sets enforcement priorities and represents the state in major legal matters.
North Dakota races are influenced by state partisan lean, incumbency, and local issues; Attorney General contests are often lower-profile than governor or federal races but carry significant legal authority. Historical turnout patterns, the presence or absence of an incumbent, and high-profile state legal matters can all shape the race dynamics.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders and update as new information arrives; they are best read as a real-time consensus signal, not an absolute prediction.
The market closing time is listed as TBD on the event page; the winner is typically determined based on the official, certified election result and the exchange's settlement rules once certification is complete.
Refer to the event description on the KALSHI page for the precise settlement condition; most contests like this settle on the officially certified winner of the election specified by the market (commonly the general election).
Settlement follows the exchange's rulebook: markets generally settle on the officially certified outcome after any recounts or legal resolutions; unusual cases are handled per the platform's dispute and settlement policies.
Total volume indicates how much trading activity has occurred; relatively low volume means prices may be driven by a small number of trades and can be more volatile or sensitive to new information.
Consider past margins in statewide races, frequency of incumbent re-election, typical turnout differences between midterm and presidential years, and how down-ballot races in North Dakota have correlated with top-ticket performance.