| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Édouard Philippe | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Éric Zemmour | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marine Le Pen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jordan Bardella | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michel Barnier | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Xavier Bertrand | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| David Lisnard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Valérie Pécresse | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bruno Retailleau | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gabriel Attal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Élisabeth Borne | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jean Castex | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gérald Darmanin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bruno Le Maire | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| François Bayrou | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carole Delga | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Olivier Faure | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Manuel Bompard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mathilde Panot | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| François Ruffin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dominique de Villepin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sarah Knafo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders buy and sell contracts on who will win the 2027 French presidential election, aggregating diverse information and expectations about the contest. It matters because market prices provide a real-time measure of how observers and participants perceive candidates' prospects as events unfold.
France elects its president through a two-round system: if no candidate wins an absolute majority in the first round, the top two proceed to a runoff. The 2027 election will occur against a backdrop of shifting party coalitions, debates over economic policy and immigration, and evolving public sentiment since the previous presidential cycle.
Market prices reflect the aggregated beliefs of traders and update as new information—polling, candidate announcements, scandals, or major events—arrives. Use prices as a dynamic signal of market consensus while remembering they can change rapidly and do not guarantee the final outcome.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific named candidate or an option defined by the market operator; consult the event page for the current roster, which may include party leaders, declared candidates, and any 'other' or aggregated options the platform offers.
This market is settled on the candidate who is ultimately declared president after any necessary runoff; prices reflect expectations about both first-round performance and potential runoff matchups that determine the final victor.
'Closes: TBD' indicates the platform has not yet set a final trading cutoff; trading typically continues until shortly before the event or until an official close is announced, and settlement occurs after the official winner is certified.
Treatment of withdrawn or disqualified candidates depends on the market rules: outcomes may be removed, settled as losses, or adjusted according to the operator's stated policies; check the market's rules page for the definitive procedure.
Total volume traded is a snapshot of activity and can indicate how actively participants are updating their views; a larger number of outcomes shows more candidate options and a wider spread of market attention, but neither metric guarantees predictive accuracy—both should be considered alongside news, polls, and fundamentals.