| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Johnson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rahm Emanuel | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kam Buckner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Joe Holberg | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paul Vallas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Maria Pappas | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alexi Giannoulias | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market aggregates trader expectations about who will win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election; its movements reflect how participants interpret news, polls, endorsements, and campaign developments. Outcomes matter because the mayor sets local policy priorities on public safety, budgeting, and development that affect millions of residents.
Chicago mayoral contests are formally nonpartisan and often go to a runoff if no candidate secures a majority in the initial vote; the city’s political dynamics include strong ward-level organizations, union influence, and diverse demographic coalitions. Historically, mayoral elections in Chicago attract high attention due to the mayor’s substantial executive powers, recurring fiscal and public-safety challenges, and a long record of high-profile incumbents and challengers.
Market odds on this page represent traders’ collective expectations about relative chances of each listed outcome and update as new information arrives; they are best read as real-time signals rather than definitive forecasts. Use price movement to track how events (debates, endorsements, fundraising, polling) change market sentiment for the 2027 race.
It means the market’s official close date has not been set on the platform; resolution will occur once the market operator specifies closing conditions, typically aligned with the official determination of the election winner by local authorities and the market’s rulebook.
If the city requires a runoff because no candidate wins a majority, the market will follow its stated rules for resolution: it may either list only the initial election winner or be structured to resolve on the ultimate certified winner after any runoff—check the market’s description and resolution criteria for this event.
The seven outcomes represent the discrete options traders can choose among—typically leading declared candidates plus one or more aggregated options (such as 'other'). Consult the market page to see the current labels and any notes about how ballots, withdrawals, or late entries are handled.
Total volume traded is a measure of how much activity has occurred in this particular market; higher volume generally implies greater liquidity and that more information has been incorporated into prices, but it does not guarantee accuracy of the eventual outcome.
Resolution procedures depend on the market’s rules: outcomes may be relabeled, contracts may be voided, or the market operator may publish special notices and adjust listings; check platform announcements and the event resolution policy for how such candidate changes are handled for the 2027 Chicago mayoral market.