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Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?

📊 $0 traded 🏦 Source: Kalshi
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
0
Active Markets
12
Markets
12

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Prices in cents (1¢ = 1%). Trade on Kalshi.

All Outcomes (12)
Outcome Probability Yes Bid Yes Ask 24h Change Volume
Muriel Bowser 0%
$0 Trade →
Robert White Jr. 0%
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Janeese Lewis George 0%
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Brianne K. Nadeau 0%
$0 Trade →
Kenyan McDuffie 0%
$0 Trade →
Gary Goodweather 0%
$0 Trade →
Karl Racine 0%
$0 Trade →
Christina Henderson 0%
$0 Trade →
Zachary Parker 0%
$0 Trade →
Phil Mendelson 0%
$0 Trade →
Brooke Pinto 0%
$0 Trade →
Brian Schwalb 0%
$0 Trade →

About This Market

This market lets traders take positions on who will win the 2026 DC Democratic mayoral primary. The Democratic nominee in Washington, D.C. is often the frontrunner in the general mayoral race, so this primary is politically consequential.

Washington, D.C. is a heavily Democratic jurisdiction where local issues like housing affordability, public safety, economic development, and relations with the federal government dominate mayoral campaigns. The 2026 primary will select the Democratic nominee; this market lists 12 distinct outcomes corresponding to candidates or labeled options and closes on a date to be announced by the platform.

Market prices are dynamic, collective assessments that incorporate new information about campaigns, endorsements, polling, and events. Use them as a real-time signal of how traders are updating expectations, not as fixed forecasts.

Key Factors

Frequently Asked Questions

How will this market determine which outcome is the winner?

The market will settle based on the candidate officially certified as the Democratic nominee for DC mayor by the D.C. Board of Elections (or the relevant certifying authority); traders should follow official certification for the final result.

What does 'Closes: TBD' mean for this Kalshi market?

It means the market’s official closing date and time have not yet been set; trading remains open until Kalshi posts the closing schedule, so check the platform for updates.

Who are the 12 outcomes listed in this market?

The market’s 12 outcomes represent the specific candidates or labeled options that Kalshi has made available; view the market page on the Kalshi platform to see the current list of names and outcome labels.

What types of events are likely to move prices in this market?

Movers include new or dropped candidacies, major endorsements, fundraising reports, polling releases, debates, high-profile local incidents or policy developments, campaign scandals, and official election administration updates.

If I’m using this market to learn about the race, what should I watch besides price changes?

Track candidate filings and withdrawals, endorsement announcements, fundraising and staffing disclosures, local polling, turnout signals from earlier contests or primaries, and official election calendar updates from the D.C. Board of Elections.

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