| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Paxton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| John Cornyn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Wesley Hunt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| Derek Dooley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Buddy Carter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mike Collins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniel Cameron | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Andy Barr | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nate Morris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Julia Letlow | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
| John Fleming | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Blake Miguez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marsha Blackburn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Rose | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ✓ Barry Moore | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Resolved |
This market asks which candidate Donald Trump will endorse in the 2026 Republican primaries and matters because his backing can shape fundraising, media narratives, and Republican voter behavior.
Trump has a record of high-impact endorsements in past Republican contests, sometimes propelling candidates and other times aligning with already ascendant figures. The 2026 cycle will unfold amid shifting intra-party coalitions, an evolving candidate field, and ongoing legal and media developments that shape his decision calculus.
Market odds aggregate public information—statements, visits, donations, and media coverage—into a single, updating signal about who he might endorse. Treat those odds as a dynamic reflection of evidence, not a definitive prediction.
He can endorse at any point before or during the 2026 primary season; the market will update as new endorsements or explicit statements occur, and the event remains open until the marketplace closes or settles.
A 'No endorsement' outcome covers scenarios where he publicly declines to endorse any primary candidate, while 'Other' typically covers endorsements of someone not listed among the named outcomes; check the market definitions for how each is settled.
Watch coordinated visits, private meetings made public, donations or fundraising help, surrogate activity in key states, and sustained positive commentary on his platforms; these tend to precede formal endorsements.
Endorsement strategy often targets early-state influence—shaping momentum in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada—so candidates with strong ground operations in those contests can be more attractive targets at different times.
His endorsements have at times been decisive and at other times symbolic; their effect depends on the candidate’s existing strength, local dynamics, and whether other party factions coalesce against or with the pick, so treat endorsements as an important but not sole factor.