| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bhumjaithai Party | 1% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $7K | Trade → |
| Pheu Thai Party | 3% | 0¢ | 3¢ | — | $4K | Trade → |
| People's Party | 96% | 96¢ | 100¢ | — | $1K | Trade → |
| Kla Tham Party | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| Palang Pracharath Party | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| Democrat Party | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
| United Thai Nation Party | 4% | 0¢ | 4¢ | — | $26 | Trade → |
This market asks which party or coalition will finish second in the seat count of the 2026 Thailand parliamentary election. The runner-up position matters because it shapes opposition strength and influences post-election coalition dynamics.
Thailand uses a multi-party parliamentary system with a mix of constituency and party-list seats; electoral outcomes are shaped by regional voting patterns, policy cleavages, and recent political realignments. In recent election cycles, competition among established parties and newer reformist groups has produced shifting alliances and unpredictable seat distributions.
Prediction market prices reflect collective expectations about who will place second in official parliamentary seat totals as reported by election authorities; they update as new information (polls, campaign events, vote counts) arrives but do not replace official results.
It refers to which named party or coalition finishes second in the official parliamentary seat count as determined by Thailand's election authorities and reported in the final certified results.
The market lists seven specific outcomes (parties or coalitions); consult the market page on the trading platform for the exact outcome names and any abbreviations used.
The market close is listed as TBD on the event page; typically such markets close by the platform’s stated deadline, which is often tied to election day results or official certification—check the platform for the precise close time.
No; this market is about the raw second-place finish in the parliamentary seat tally. Subsequent coalition agreements affect governance but do not retroactively change the official seat ranking used by the market.
Follow announcements from Thailand’s Election Commission, reputable local and international news organizations for seat counts and official results, and the market page on the trading platform for how those developments are reflected in prices.