| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Talarico | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Antonio Delgado | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alan Grayson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Charles Booker | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Dan Osborn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mary Peltola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Zach Wahls | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cameron Kasky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Omar Fateh | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Cori Bush | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Turek | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Juliana Stratton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nithya Raman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This prediction market asks which person Bernie Sanders will publicly endorse before the next U.S. midterm elections; it matters because his endorsement can shift media attention, grassroots enthusiasm, and donor behavior in competitive races.
Bernie Sanders is a high-profile progressive senator whose endorsements have historically helped boost lesser-known or insurgent candidates within Democratic primaries and contested general-election races. Timing, the partisan makeup of the race, and Sanders’s strategic goals (e.g., building a progressive bench vs. backing general-election winners) shape whether and whom he endorses.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s collective expectation about which endorsement will occur and update as news arrives; they are not guarantees but indicators that change with new information such as announcements, campaign developments, or shifting electoral dynamics.
It refers to any public, verifiable endorsement announced prior to the official date of the next U.S. midterm elections as defined in the market’s rulebook; exact cutoff and resolution procedures are set by the exchange hosting the market.
Resolution depends on how the market’s outcomes were defined; if multiple endorsements are possible, the market’s rules will specify whether the first public endorsement, any endorsement, or another criterion determines the winning outcome—consult the market’s official resolution rules for details.
Generally, only public and verifiable endorsements (press releases, official social-media posts, quoted statements in reputable media, or clearly documented campaign communications) count toward resolution; private or unreported conversations typically do not.
Valid endorsements are usually clear, attributable public expressions of support from Sanders or his official representatives—these can include live events, press statements, social-media posts from verified accounts, op-eds, or widely reported interview quotes; final determination follows the market’s documented rules.
Direct campaign events and announcements involving Sanders or potential endorsees, high-profile interviews or social-media endorsements, candidate withdrawals or primary results, fundraising news, and competing national endorsements are the most common catalysts for price movement.