| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald J. Trump | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ron DeSantis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Glenn Youngkin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nikki Haley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Greg Abbott | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Brian Kemp | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Hawley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ted Cruz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Gaetz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Byron Donalds | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Elise Stefanik | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Katie Britt | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Thune | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Erika Kirk | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be named the Republican vice presidential nominee for the 2028 ticket. It matters because the VP pick shapes the party's electoral strategy, geographic and demographic appeal, and campaign messaging.
Historically, presidential nominees select running mates to balance the ticket on ideology, experience, geography, or demographics, and the choice is typically formalized at the party convention. The 2028 VP selection will be driven by the eventual Republican presidential nominee's priorities, ongoing primary dynamics, and developments between now and the nominating convention.
Market prices reflect the aggregate expectations of traders and update with new information—news, debate performances, vetting results, and campaign developments. Treat prices as a live consensus signal, not a guarantee, and note that liquidity and the number of active traders affect how quickly prices move.
Resolution timing is determined by the event's rules: typically the market resolves when the Republican Party formally recognizes and publishes the vice presidential nominee (for example, a public announcement by the presidential nominee or official nomination at the national convention). Check the event page for the specific settlement criteria.
In modern practice the presidential nominee selects a running mate and the convention subsequently ratifies that choice; the market outcome will follow whatever individual is officially recognized under the event's resolution rules.
The listed outcomes typically include named individuals who have been identified as plausible picks plus options like 'Other' for unlisted names. Market creators can add or remove outcomes according to their rules, so check the event page for the current roster.
Significant developments rapidly change market expectations: strong primary results can narrow the presumptive nominee and their likely pick, vetting reports can remove contenders, and scandals can cause swift re-pricing as traders incorporate new information.
A change in the presumptive nominee alters the pool of plausible running mates and typically causes rapid shifts in the market; resolution still depends on the official individual ultimately nominated per the market's stated rules.