| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before May 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks when Anthropic will publicly release its next flagship model, Claude 5. Timing matters because the release affects product availability, developer access, and competitive dynamics in advanced AI services.
Anthropic is an AI research and product company that typically stages new model rollouts (internal testing, limited previews, enterprise access, then broader availability). Release timing depends on technical readiness, safety evaluations, partner integrations, and business decisions rather than a single technical milestone.
Market prices reflect traders' collective assessment of when a public release will occur and update as new information appears; they are not guarantees but syntheses of observable signals, official announcements, and informed speculation.
‘Release’ can mean different things (public announcement, limited research preview, API access for paying customers, or general public availability). The event settles according to the market's specific settlement rules, so check that definition to know which form of availability counts.
Official Anthropic statements (blog posts, press releases, product pages), API or partner announcements, and demonstrable availability on supported platforms are primary settlement signals; leaks and third-party reports can move the market but may not be definitive for settlement.
Past launches have often used staged rollouts—internal testing, invite-only previews, then broader access—so a first public announcement may precede general availability by weeks or months; historical cadence can inform expectations but does not determine this specific timeline.
Yes. Strategic partnerships or cloud-hosting deals can accelerate enterprise or API availability in selected channels while broader public release remains later; such agreements are common levers companies use to manage scale and support.
Delays often stem from extended safety testing, discovered technical regressions, supply or compute constraints, regulatory scrutiny, or contractual negotiations with major partners; any of these can push back public availability even after an internal milestone is reached.