| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which party will win the U.S. House seat representing Washington's 9th congressional district (WA-09). The outcome matters for representation of local constituents and contributes to the overall partisan balance in the House.
WA-09 covers parts of King County and surrounding suburbs and includes a mix of urban and suburban communities; local issues such as housing, transportation, and the regional economy commonly shape campaigns. Washington uses a top-two primary system for federal races, and district lines can shift after redistricting, both of which affect the electoral dynamics in any given cycle.
Prediction market prices aggregate traders' views and new information about this race in real time; they provide a market-based measure of who participants think will win but are not official results and can change rapidly as events unfold.
The market resolves to one of two outcomes: the Democratic Party wins the WA-09 House seat, or the Republican Party wins the WA-09 House seat, as determined by the official, certified result for the relevant election contest.
This market's close date is listed as TBD; resolution will follow the market's published rules and the official certification process for the election. Check the market page for the specific settlement trigger and any deadlines.
Markets typically resolve to the officially certified winner as determined by the state’s election authorities once all recounts and legal challenges are resolved. Consult the market's resolution policy for details on handling contested outcomes.
Washington’s top-two primary determines which two candidates advance to the general election; primary outcomes can change the match-up and competitiveness in the general election, which in turn influences this market as traders update expectations.
Monitor official filings and certifications from the Washington Secretary of State, local and regional news coverage, candidate press releases and debates, campaign finance reports, polling specific to WA-09, and market updates on the trading platform for new information and rule changes.