| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.0M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.2M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.3M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.4M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.6M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.7M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.8M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.0M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2M | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations about voter turnout in the 2026 Wisconsin Supreme Court election, a measure that captures how mobilized and engaged Wisconsin voters are for a high‑profile state judicial contest. Turnout in such races can affect the perceived mandate of the winner and signal broader political energy in the state.
Wisconsin Supreme Court races have in recent cycles become focal points for statewide and national political actors, producing higher-than-typical attention and mobilization compared with routine down-ballot contests. Turnout patterns depend heavily on the race’s competitiveness, whether other major contests occur on the same ballot, and sustained campaigning or litigation over voting access. Because turnout is shaped by many moving parts, historical patterns offer context but do not guarantee future levels.
Market prices aggregate traders’ views about which turnout band or threshold is most likely, updating as new information arrives; they are signals of collective belief, not guarantees. Use them alongside fundamentals (timing, campaign activity, legal developments) when forming an expectation.
Closing time is set by the platform and is listed on the market page; resolution timing and the official turnout measure will be defined in the market’s rules. Many markets wait for the state’s certified turnout or the official vote count for the specific race before resolving; check the event description for the authoritative source and resolution date.
The market’s resolution language specifies the metric (for example, total ballots cast in the Supreme Court race, total votes for the race, or certified turnout). Consult the market’s description or rules to see which official source (e.g., state elections commission certification) will be used.
Past high‑profile contests in Wisconsin have shown that ideological balance and nationalized issues can drive unusually large turnout for a judicial race; however, differences in timing, campaign budgets, and concurrent contests mean historical turnout is informative but not determinative.
Announcements that materially change voter interest or access — such as major campaign expenditures, endorsements, new statewide ballot measures, court rulings on voting rules, or extreme weather forecasts — typically cause quick reassessments in expectations and market prices.
Payouts occur after the market is officially resolved according to the platform’s settlement procedures and the resolution source named in the market rules. Timing for certification and settlement varies; review the platform’s resolution policy and the event page for estimated settlement timing.