| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Adams | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Josh Cortez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Carlos De La Cruz | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mark Eberwine | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jay Furman | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Vanessa Hicks-Callaway | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ryan Krause | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Larry LaRose | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rod Lingsch | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Lujan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steven Wright | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will become the Republican nominee for Texas's 35th congressional district (TX-35). It matters because the nominee shapes the party's chances in the general election and signals intra-party dynamics in that district.
TX-35 is a single congressional district in Texas whose primary outcome determines the Republican standard-bearer for the general election. Nomination contests in Texas are shaped by local demographics, recent redistricting and district-level political trends, and can be influenced by endorsements, fundraising, and turnout patterns.
Market prices aggregate participant expectations and update as new information (polls, endorsements, fund-raising, withdrawals) arrives; treat them as a real-time summary of beliefs rather than definitive forecasts.
The market will resolve to the individual who is officially recognized as the Republican nominee for Texas's 35th congressional district according to the market's resolution rules — typically the candidate certified by the appropriate election authority or party body. Check the market's rule text for precise resolution criteria.
The listed closing time is currently TBD. In practice, the market will be closed or resolved once the exchange's stated resolution condition is met (for example, after official certification of the primary or runoff). Monitor the market page for updates on closing and resolution timing.
The outcomes correspond to the candidate names listed on the market page at listing time. To see the exact roster of named contenders and any non-candidate options (if offered), consult the market's outcome list on the exchange.
If the nomination process requires a runoff, the market will typically reflect the two-runoff candidates and update as the field narrows. Runoff timing can extend when the market resolves and may change liquidity and price dynamics as attention concentrates on the final two candidates.
Exchanges have rules for handling withdrawals, disqualifications, and late entries: outcomes may be removed, labels updated, positions refunded or adjusted, or the market may remain open with the outcome list unchanged. Review the market's specific rule set and announcements for how such cases are handled.