| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maureen Galindo | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Johnny Garcia | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| John Lira | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Whitney Masterson-Moyes | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be the Democratic Party's official nominee for U.S. House in Texas's 35th Congressional District. It matters because the nominee determines the Democratic challenger on the general election ballot and shapes campaign dynamics in a competitive South Texas district.
TX-35 is a congressional district in southern Texas with a history of strong Hispanic electorate and localized issues such as border policy, immigration, energy, and economic development. Recent cycles have featured competitive Democratic primaries and occasional redistricting changes that alter the district's footprint and electoral dynamics.
Prediction market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations about which individual will be the certified Democratic nominee; use price moves as timely signals about changing information rather than fixed forecasts.
This market will resolve when the Democratic nominee for TX-35 is officially determined per the market's resolution rules — typically when the relevant election authority or party certifies the nominee after primary and any runoff. Check the market's official notice for the specific resolution trigger.
The Democratic nominee is the individual who is officially selected under Texas party and election procedures—generally the primary winner or the runoff winner if no primary candidate reaches the threshold to avoid a runoff—once results are certified.
If a candidate withdraws before the party or election authority certifies a nominee, they may be removed from consideration; if a certified nominee later withdraws and is officially replaced, the market will follow the operator's stated resolution policy, which usually defers to official certification or party procedures.
Shifts often follow primary vote counts, candidate endorsements, fundraising disclosures, major campaign announcements, reported ground-game strength, or legal developments affecting ballots or candidacies.
Combine market signals with local reporting, candidate filings, official vote tallies, fundraising reports, and endorsement lists to build a fuller picture; markets are real-time aggregators but are most useful when interpreted alongside concrete events and official results.