| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Binkley | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Paul Bondar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Aimee Carrasco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Darrell Day | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gordon Heslop | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Monty Montanez | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| James Ussery | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Abteen Vaziri | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Jace Yarbrough | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will become the Republican nominee for Texas's 32nd Congressional District. The result matters because the nominee will represent the GOP on the general-election ballot and shapes competitive dynamics in that district.
TX-32 is a U.S. House district in Texas whose partisan lean and local issues shape primary competition. The Republican nominee is determined through the state’s primary process, which can include a runoff if no candidate reaches a required threshold under Texas law. Multiple declared candidates and local dynamics mean the primary can be highly competitive.
Prices in this market reflect traders’ collective expectations about which named candidate will be the officially certified Republican nominee; they update as new information arrives. Markets settle on the outcome that the exchange recognizes, typically the officially certified nominee after the primary and any runoff.
This market lists nine named outcomes corresponding to specific candidates chosen when the market was created; only those listed outcomes are tradable within the market.
The market’s close is listed as TBD on the platform; settlement will be based on the officially certified Republican nominee for TX-32 as recognized by election authorities and the exchange’s settlement rules.
If no candidate wins the primary outright and a runoff occurs, the market settles on the eventual nominee who wins the runoff; traders should expect pricing changes during the runoff period as information and voter returns arrive.
Treatment of withdrawn candidates depends on the exchange’s rules: outcomes may remain tradeable until settlement, and final resolution follows official certification; consult the platform’s market rules for specific handling of withdrawals.
Volume indicates the market’s liquidity and how much capital has moved on these outcomes—higher volume generally means tighter prices and easier entry/exit—but it does not by itself determine who will win and should be considered alongside other information.