| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Garcia | 99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | — | $3K | Trade → |
| Jarvis Johnson | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $2K | Trade → |
| Robert Slater | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | — | $140 | Trade → |
This market asks who will be the Democratic nominee for Texas's 29th Congressional District; the nominee determines the party's candidate in the general election and shapes campaign strategy in the district.
TX-29's nomination contest will be shaped by local demographics, candidate organization, and whether the race is an open seat or involves an incumbent. Primary timing, any recent redistricting, and the presence of well-known local figures or party-backed challengers are important background considerations.
Prediction market odds aggregate the judgment of traders and move as new information arrives; they are a real‑time signal of market consensus, not an immutable forecast.
The market lists its close date as TBD; closure and resolution typically follow official nomination certification or the applicable primary/special election result—check the event page for updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a label shown on the market (usually named candidates and sometimes an 'Other' or 'No nominee' option); consult the market's outcome descriptions to see which candidates are included.
Those events change the eligible candidate pool and often shift trader expectations; markets update through price movement and, if necessary, through changes to listed outcomes or resolution rules based on official election authority decisions.
Key movers include major endorsements, FEC fundraising reports, credible primary polling, candidate withdrawal or entry announcements, court rulings on ballots, and high‑profile local campaign developments.
Use the market as a dynamic, real‑time aggregation of available information but cross‑check with official candidate filings, local election calendars, and authoritative news; expect increased volatility around filing deadlines, primaries, and legal decisions.