| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Buchwald | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kevin Burge | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| TJ Ware | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the Democratic nominee for Texas's 24th Congressional District. It matters because the nominee determines the Democratic contender on the general-election ballot and shapes the local and national balance of House seats.
The nomination is decided through the Texas primary process (and any subsequent runoff if required) or by special-election procedures if applicable. Local dynamics — including recent redistricting, candidate quality, and turnout patterns — influence the contest alongside broader state and national political trends.
Market prices reflect collective expectations about who will be certified as the official Democratic nominee; they update as new information (polling, fundraising, endorsements, vote counts) arrives. Use prices as a real-time indicator of market sentiment rather than a definitive prediction.
This market lists the named candidates shown on the market page and pays out for whichever listed candidate is ultimately certified as the Democratic nominee for TX-24 by the relevant election authority or per the exchange's resolution rules.
The market's close time is listed as TBD on the event page; final resolution will follow official certification of the nominee (e.g., after the primary/runoff results are final) or as specified in the exchange's contract rules. Check the market page for updates and the exchange's settlement policy.
If Texas law requires a runoff and the runoff determines the nominee, the market will resolve based on the official runoff outcome as certified. In the case of a tie or other unusual certification issues, the exchange will apply its published dispute and resolution procedures—consult the contract terms for specifics.
Follow local county election office reports for vote counts and certification, candidate campaign filings (finance reports and ballot access documents), local news outlets for endorsements and campaign developments, and county-level early/absentee voting trends for turnout signals.
If a candidate formally withdraws or is removed before official certification, the exchange will follow its stated rules—options include adjusting the market, voiding the withdrawn outcome, or resolving based on the final certified nominee. Confirm the exchange's policy on candidate withdrawal and contract adjustments for this event.