| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dola | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Grok | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| GLM | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Claude | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Gemini | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| ChatGPT | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Qwen | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kimi | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which coding-focused AI will be judged the 'Top' performer during a specified week, providing a way to track head-to-head comparisons among developer-oriented models. It matters because it aggregates real-time expectations about which tool is leading on criteria that matter to developers and evaluators.
Interest in coding AIs has grown rapidly as multiple models and products compete to assist software development tasks; weekly comparisons capture short-term momentum from model updates, benchmark results, and developer adoption. Kalshi's format breaks that competition into discrete outcomes so observers can monitor shifts in perceived leadership over a defined interval.
Market prices/odds reflect the collective view of participants about which outcome will be declared 'Top' according to the market's resolution rules; interpret them alongside liquidity and recent information rather than as fixed truth.
The market's 'Top' is defined by its resolution criteria, which should be listed on the market page; it will be based on a named benchmark, leaderboard, or official announcement specified by Kalshi when the market was created.
The winner will be determined according to the predefined settlement rules tied to each outcome (for example, the highest-ranked model on a stated leaderboard or a named adjudicator's announcement); consult the outcome descriptions on the market page for the exact tie-breakers and data sources.
The market page should state the start/end timestamps or the rule for the 'week'; if the close is marked as TBD, Kalshi will update the market with precise timing or an official notice—monitor the market page and platform announcements for changes.
Resolution is typically based on a named third-party data source, a specific public leaderboard, or an official organizer's announcement as specified in the market rules; check the market's settlement clause to identify the designated data provider or arbiter.
Zero or low volume indicates limited trading activity and weaker price discovery, so current market prices may not reflect broad consensus; when volume increases or when authoritative benchmark announcements arrive, prices and clarity around outcomes will typically become more informative.