| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be declared the winner of the Tennessee governor race and aggregates traders' expectations about that outcome. It matters because gubernatorial control shapes state policy on taxes, education, health, and can influence national politics.
Tennessee has generally favored one party in recent statewide races, but gubernatorial outcomes can hinge on candidate quality, turnout differences between urban and rural areas, and unique state issues. Incumbency, primary contests, and local political dynamics have historically affected who wins the governor's office.
Prediction market prices reflect collective expectations and react to new information, but they are not guarantees. Note the market shows modest total volume traded ($3,367), which can make prices more sensitive to individual trades and news.
The market close time is listed as TBD; settlement will follow the exchange's official rules and typically is based on the candidate officially declared or certified by the state's election authority. Check the market page and exchange rulebook for the specific settlement trigger used here.
This is a two‑outcome binary market; each outcome corresponds to one of the two named candidates listed on the market page. The outcome that matches the official certified winner will settle as the winning side according to the market's rules.
Modest cumulative volume indicates limited liquidity, so prices can move substantially from relatively small trades and may be less stable than higher‑volume markets. Consider that low volume can increase volatility and lower the amount of information reflected in current prices.
Markets typically wait for official certification or the settlement condition specified by the exchange; recounts or legal challenges can delay settlement until the authorized result is finalized. Review the exchange's dispute and settlement policies for precise handling of contested results.
Watch the primary election date and any candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, public debates, state and national polling releases, fundraising reports, and local news items (e.g., legal issues or major policy announcements), as each can materially alter market expectations.