| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Republican party | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will be the winner of the South Carolina governor's race. It matters because the governor sets state policy and the market aggregates real-time expectations about that outcome.
South Carolina gubernatorial contests are shaped by the state's regional turnout patterns, party primary dynamics, and local issues such as the economy, education, and healthcare. Historical voting patterns, incumbency advantages, and campaign organization frequently determine how competitive a race becomes.
Prediction market prices reflect the collective judgment of traders about who will win and update as new information arrives; treat them as a dynamic, market-based signal rather than a definitive prediction.
This market contains two mutually exclusive, tradeable outcomes corresponding to the two named options on the market page; check the market interface to see the exact candidate labels.
Close is listed as TBD on the market; settlement will follow the market's stated resolution rules and the official, certified result from South Carolina election authorities—monitor the market page for the exact close and settlement timing.
KALSHI resolves based on official certification or other authoritative sources specified in the contract language; typically the state’s certification by election officials is used rather than preliminary media calls.
Those developments can delay settlement or trigger platform-specific procedures: markets may be suspended, amended, or resolved according to KALSHI’s rules and posted notices—consult the market's resolution policy and announcements for specifics.
Statewide polls, primary results, fundraising and ad spending reports, turnout data (including early and absentee voting), major endorsements, debates, and unexpected scandals or legal events typically drive price movement.