| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Johnson | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Mullins McLeod | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Justin Bennett | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Billy Webster | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which of the listed candidates will be the Democratic nominee for governor of South Carolina. The outcome matters for statewide policy direction and competitiveness in the general election.
South Carolina selects party nominees through state-run primaries; if no candidate meets the threshold required by state law, a runoff between the top two can follow. The state's electoral history, partisan balance, regional voting patterns, and turnout dynamics shape how Democratic primary contests play out.
Market prices aggregate public information and expectations about who will become the official nominee; they move as new polls, endorsements, fundraising, and campaign events alter the perceived likelihood of each listed outcome.
This market will resolve to whichever of the listed outcomes is officially declared the South Carolina Democratic Party's gubernatorial nominee after the state's nomination process is complete and certification is final.
If state rules trigger a runoff, the market will wait for the runoff to conclude and resolve to the candidate who becomes the official nominee following any required runoff and subsequent certification.
Resolution depends on official party and state determinations: if a listed candidate withdraws before nomination, exchanges typically follow their rulebook for handling removed outcomes; ultimately the market pays on the candidate the state/party certifies as the nominee.
Watch the state primary date (and any scheduled runoff dates), deadlines for ballot access and withdrawals, major primary debates, and the official certification/canvas of results by state election authorities and the Democratic Party.
Relevant dynamics include the state's recent partisan trend in statewide races, the importance of regional bases within the state, historical primary turnout patterns, and how national political tides and local issues have influenced past nominee selection.