| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 18 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 27 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 33 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 24 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 21 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 30 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market lets traders express expectations for how many parliamentary seats the Freedom Movement (Gibanje Svoboda) will win in the next Slovenian parliamentary election. The result matters because it determines the party's parliamentary strength and its ability to lead or join a governing coalition.
Slovenia's National Assembly has 90 seats, with two reserved for national minorities; most seats are allocated by proportional representation. The Freedom Movement emerged as a major force in recent years and its seat total is a key indicator of voter support, coalition arithmetic, and the likely policy direction of the next government.
Market prices represent collective assessments of which seat-count outcome is most likely given current information and will move as new polls, events, or coalition developments arrive. Treat prices as a continually updated signal that summarizes available info, not a fixed prediction.
The market's close time is currently listed as TBD; the platform will publish a definitive close time ahead of or on election day—check the market page for the official timestamp and any updates.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific seat count or seat-range for the Freedom Movement as defined on the market page; consult the outcome labels and description to see the exact ranges or counts covered by each of the six options.
New polls can move prices quickly because they update expectations about voter support and seat distribution; market impact depends on poll credibility, sample size, timing, and whether multiple polls point in the same direction.
Because a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly requires 46 seats, the party's seat total determines how many and which partners it needs to form a government, affecting cabinet composition and policy prioritization.
Yes. The two reserved minority seats and the national/regional thresholds for entering parliament influence final seat allocation and can change how proportional votes translate into seats; outcomes in this market reflect those institutional effects once results are determined.